The NY Times predicts the Oscar winners using the categories “Conventional Wisdom,” “Underdog,” “Wildcard,” and “Bagger.” The rating system is a bit convoluted, with the first three categories independent of the last.

Best Picture:
Conventional Wisdom: Brokeback Mountain
Underdog: Crash
Wildcard: Good Night and Good Luck
NYT Predicted Winner (Bagger): Crash

Best Actress:
Conventional Wisdom: Reese Witherspoon – Walk the Line
Underdog: Felicity Huffman – Transamerica
Wildcard: Keira Knightly – Pride and Prejudice
NYT Predicted Winner (Bagger): Reese Witherspoon – Walk the Line

Best Actor:
Conventional Wisdom: Philip Seymour Hoffman – Capote
Underdog: Heath Ledger – Brokeback Mountain
Wildcard: Terrence Howard – Hustle and Flow
NYT Predicted Winner (Bagger): Philip Seymour Hoffman – Capote

Supporting Actor:
Conventional Wisdom: George Clooney – Syriana
Underdog: Paul Giamatti – Cinderella Man
Wildcard: Jake Gyllenhaal – Brokeback Mountain
NYT Predicted Winner (Bagger): George Clooney – Syriana

Supporting Actress:
Conventional Wisdom: Rachel Weisz – The Constant Gardner
Underdog: Amy Adams – Junebug
Wildcard: Michelle Williams – Brokeback Mountain
NYT Predicted Winner (Bagger): Rachel Weisz – The Constant Gardner

See more predictions in their pop-up graphic (warning: this link will initally resize your screen, but it is easily maximized again.)

And if you missed Reese’s Oscar-worthy performance, here’s a clip from “Walk the Line” with June telling Johnny off for partying too much: