The NY Times predicts the Oscar winners using the categories “Conventional Wisdom,” “Underdog,” “Wildcard,” and “Bagger.” The rating system is a bit convoluted, with the first three categories independent of the last.

Best Picture:
Conventional Wisdom: Brokeback Mountain
Underdog: Crash
Wildcard: Good Night and Good Luck
NYT Predicted Winner (Bagger): Crash

Best Actress:
Conventional Wisdom: Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line
Underdog: Felicity Huffman - Transamerica
Wildcard: Keira Knightly - Pride and Prejudice
NYT Predicted Winner (Bagger): Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line

Best Actor:
Conventional Wisdom: Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
Underdog: Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain
Wildcard: Terrence Howard - Hustle and Flow
NYT Predicted Winner (Bagger): Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote

Supporting Actor:
Conventional Wisdom: George Clooney - Syriana
Underdog: Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man
Wildcard: Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain
NYT Predicted Winner (Bagger): George Clooney - Syriana

Supporting Actress:
Conventional Wisdom: Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardner
Underdog: Amy Adams - Junebug
Wildcard: Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain
NYT Predicted Winner (Bagger): Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardner

See more predictions in their pop-up graphic (warning: this link will initally resize your screen, but it is easily maximized again.)

And if you missed Reese’s Oscar-worthy performance, here’s a clip from “Walk the Line” with June telling Johnny off for partying too much: