Legal analysts say DA Bragg’s case against Donald Trump is pretty strong

Donald Trump has operated like a mobster for decades, so it’s great that the first big criminal charges brought against him are of the “bookkeeping and tax fraud” variety. Now that the grand jury’s indictment has been unsealed, legal experts are getting a good look at the case DA Alvin Bragg has built against Trump. For one, most legal experts are impressed by how strong the case appears. Secondly, these are exactly the kind of charges a DA would bring against a mob boss or someone in charge of a crime syndicate. Yes, Trump is a serial sexual predator who incited a bloody insurrection aimed at subverting American democracy, but he also committed state tax fraud.

For weeks, observers have wondered about the exact charges the Manhattan district attorney, Alvin L. Bragg, would bring. Accusing Mr. Trump of bookkeeping fraud to conceal campaign finance violations, many believed, could raise significant legal challenges. That accusation turned out to be a major part of Mr. Bragg’s theory — but not all of it.

“Pundits have been speculating that Trump would be charged with lying about the hush money payments to illegally affect an election, and that theory rests on controversial legal issues and could be hard to prove,” said Rebecca Roiphe, a New York Law School professor and former state prosecutor.

“It turns out the indictment also includes a claim that Trump falsified records to commit a state tax crime,” she continued. “That’s a much simpler charge that avoids the potential pitfalls.”

The indictment listed 34 counts of bookkeeping fraud related to Mr. Trump’s reimbursement in 2017 to Michael D. Cohen, his former lawyer and fixer. Just before the 2016 election, Mr. Cohen had made a $130,000 hush money payment to the pornographic film actress Stormy Daniels, who has said she and Mr. Trump had an extramarital affair.

Various business records concerning those payments to Mr. Cohen, an accompanying statement of facts said, falsely characterized them as being for legal services performed in 2017. For each such record, the grand jury charged Mr. Trump with a felony bookkeeping fraud under Article 175 of the New York Penal Law. A conviction on that charge carries a sentence of up to four years.

[From The NY Times]

Yeah, I believe this analysis. I think Bragg waited until he had all of his ducks in a row. Just the length of time he spent with grand jury shows me that he built the case methodically and he wanted the whole thing to be bulletproof. Speaking of, even if this case falls apart (which I don’t think it will), surely they would very easily be able to get Trump and his family on targeting the judge and DA Bragg with harassment and violence? Because that’s exactly what they’re doing.

I barely watched one full minute of Trump’s speech at Mar-a-Lago last night and it feels irresponsible to post the full video. The basic gist, from what I understand, is that Diaper Don is scared and rattled and spinning all kinds of conspiracies.

Photos courtesy of Cover Images, cover courtesy of Time.

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16 Responses to “Legal analysts say DA Bragg’s case against Donald Trump is pretty strong”

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  1. Brassy Rebel says:

    Al Capone was responsible for murdering scores of people. He went to prison for the white collar crime of tax evasion. The Manhattan DA has the best white collar crime unit in the country next to the Feds. They eat white collar criminals for breakfast.

    Thanks for the Norm Eisen Op Ed. He’s a good lawyer.

    • Emily_C says:

      I’m still angry at them for not going after Trump decades ago. Different people are in there now though. Hopefully they’ll also go after other white collar criminals and thereby prevent a Trump 2.0.

  2. Emmi says:

    Why does it feel like the NYT would have loved to put “p0rnographic” in bold and cursive? “Adult film actress” would be fine as well.

    I love how people seem surprised that the case is strong. You would have to be supremely stupid to bring a weak case. Come on.

  3. North of Boston says:

    What’s that saying?

    It’s not the crime, it’s the coverup.

    The affair wasn’t illegal, it was a personal matter between him, his spouse, the other party.

    All the flailing, lies, manipulation to hide the affair? That’s the stuff that’s coming back to bite this evil jackA now.

    • Lucky Charm says:

      When my kids were growing up I told them that they may not get in trouble for what they did, but they would always get in more trouble for lying about it. So just DON’T LIE!

  4. Jessica says:

    Trump loves cheating on his taxes even more than he loves cheating on his spouses, and I love that it’s going to be at least part of his ultimate downfall.

  5. Slush says:

    Good I hope it’s a strong case. I can’t imagine what will happen if it’s dismissed or he’s acquitted.

  6. lucy2 says:

    I’ve been assuming it’s a strong case. You don’t indict a former POTUS without one!
    I’m looking forward to Georgia stepping on the gas with their charges too, and it sounds like that’s moving fast.
    Whoever does the cover graphics for TIME has had some good ones in recent years.

    • Lizzie Bathory says:

      Yeah–it’s a strong case. That doesn’t guarantee a conviction, but DA Bragg got the grand jury to indict. I think there’s a very good chance he can make a clear case to get the jury to convict.

      And in the mean time, Trump & his people will make things much worse for him by attacking the judge.

      • SarahCS says:

        I also have serious questions about the quality of legal representation he is able to get on board at this points. I’m sure there are plenty of MAGAs with law degrees but lawyers also do like to get paid.

      • ama1977 says:

        SarahCS, that’s an excellent point. He’s radioactive to the prestige firms with top-quality attorneys who routinely handle these kinds of financial cases, both for his rhetoric and his history of running out on the bill. Anyone of quality won’t represent him because it would tank their career. You reap what you sow!

  7. Mrs. Smith says:

    The indictment is laid out very plainly so that anyone reading it can see this is a clear cut case of business fraud. I can’t wait for the other pending indictments to drop, which will be the “WTF” chapter in this saga. The recorded phone calls asking for GA to overturn the election? Whatever it is that Jack Smith is overseeing re J6? That sh*t is gonna be epic.

  8. Eurydice says:

    Other legal analysts, and not just conservative ones, say the case is not all that strong. We’ll see.

    • Slush says:

      Yes I saw some people saying the same. Basically like “well…I hope they have more than this.”

      I’m unsettled to say the least.

  9. ML says:

    Excellent first step to making Trump responsible for his actions. I’m glad the law is starting to catch up to him a bit.
    The Republican reaction to this is infuriating, however! Considering how they perverted the Supreme Court and are attacking human rights based on gender and skin color etc, please make sure you register to vote! All of them seem to be supporting Trump, and you can guarantee that if a Democrat did anything nearly as insane and illegal, they would understand why it was wrong. Go Bragg for starting this process against DT, and people, make sure you do as much as you can to vote against the people supporting him.