There are two early entries in the “anonymous Oscar ballot” game today. Both pieces were published after Oscar voting closed yesterday. The Hollywood Reporter began the “Brutally Honest Oscar Ballot” series, and now tons of publications/sites copy the format. Variety puts their own spin on it, summarizing what Oscar voters are telling them and sharing various voters’ “ballots” as well. But I still have love for the OG Hollywood Reporter series, because they really talk to one voter at a time and we get to hear the rationale for why people are making certain choices. So, let’s get to it. THR’s Brutally Honest Oscar Ballot #1, from a female member of the documentary branch.
Thoughts on Best Picture: “F1 was not for me — I watched about 45 minutes of it, and I didn’t need to watch more. I’m a huge fan of Yorgos Lanthimos, but Bugonia, while I admired its ambition and performances, did not work for me. I liked Train Dreams and thought it was visually beautiful, but I grew a little tired of the character’s point of view and didn’t find it especially unique. Marty Supreme was a great ride, but it ultimately felt like more of the same stuff we’ve seen from the Safdies, even if this one was just Josh. I admired The Secret Agent’s performances and design, but was not as captivated by the narrative as I wanted to be. Hamnet was emotional and beautifully rendered, but a bit overwrought — I didn’t want Jessie [Buckley] turned up to a 10 the entire time. To me, One Battle After Another, Sinners and Sentimental Value are all best picture-worthy. I loved One Battle, but there were flaws — I heard from a lot of friends in the Black community that they were troubled by the character Perfidia Beverly Hills, and I really hear that. With Sinners, I was leaning forward in my seat with my mouth open for the entire movie — it was so ambitious, profound, provocative and entertaining. But at the end of the day, I put Sentimental Value on top because it was, to me, exquisite, nearly perfect, and my kind of movie. VOTE: (1) Sentimental Value, (2) Sinners, (3) One Battle After Another, (4) Hamnet, (5) The Secret Agent, (6) Marty Supreme, (7) Train Dreams, (8) Bugonia, (9) F1, (10) Frankenstein
Best director: “I found [Sentimental Value’s Joachim] Trier’s direction of his actors and design of his film to be outstanding — but I have to go with [Sinners’ Ryan] Coogler. The director is the conductor of all of the crafts that go into a movie, and Sinners was so gorgeously conducted, such a big swing, so ambitious and so unique. VOTE: Ryan Coogler, Sinners
Best actor: [Timothée] Chalamet is great in Marty Supreme, but the character felt a bit redundant after the prior Safdie films. Michael B. Jordan is incredible in Sinners. Wagner Moura’s performance in The Secret Agent is the main reason to watch that movie. I was very tempted to vote for Leo [DiCaprio for One Battle]. But Ethan Hawke’s performance in Blue Moon is inspired, magnetic, almost magical. VOTE: Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon
Best actress: Rose Byrne brought everything to If I Had Legs I’d Kick You — I mean, with the way the filmmaker chose to focus on her face, she was mesmerizing, and it was a tour de force. But I felt that [Sentimental Value’s] Renate Reinsve gave the most stunning performance of the year. She just got into my heart. VOTE: Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value
Best supporting actor: Sean Penn is incredible [in One Battle], as he usually is. I love Stellan [Skarsgård] in Sentimental Value, who is also always so good. But for me, it was between Delroy [Lindo of Sinners] and Benicio [Del Toro of One Battle], and I went with the Sensei because of the way in which I understand Benicio helped to craft that character. I saw some interviews about how he brought to PTA all of these ideas about the apartment and other things, and how they really worked together to build that character, who is the spiritual heart of the film. I have friends to my left who felt it made fun of activism, and friends to my right who found it to be too celebratory, and I would always point to Benicio’s character as an ideal for this moment — someone with deep community ties who knows how to open doors and make things happen. I’ll never forget that performance. VOTE: Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another
Best supporting actress: While I’m a fan of One Battle After Another, Teyana Taylor’s character was tough for me to swallow. Wunmi [Mosaku, in Sinners] and Amy [Madian, in Weapons] are great. Though I loved Sentimental Value, I don’t think Elle Fanning had much to do. But Inga [Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Fanning’s costar] is getting my vote. The nuance that Inga and Renate Reinsve brought to that sibling relationship was incredible, and the scene of the two of them in the bedroom is one of the best-performed scenes of the year. VOTE: Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value
I’ll be honest, I read this right after I read Variety’s summary of the chaos in nearly all of the races, and I was so pleased that at least one Oscar voter saw Sentimental Value and recognized it as a wonderful movie. Is is! It’s a great movie, quiet and beautiful, about generational wounds and art and artists. Do I think SV is going to win anything? No. Variety said that basically no one saw the foreign films (SV and The Secret Agent), and I believe the only SV actor getting any genuine consideration is probably Stellan Skarsgard, because he’s been around forever and he’s worked with everyone. Something else I find interesting is that between this piece and Variety’s piece, I now believe that Paul Thomas Anderson is nowhere near a sure thing for Best Director. And that’s so interesting.
Photos courtesy of Avalon Red, Cover Images.
- Elle Fanning, Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Joachim Trier, Renate Reinsve and Stellan Skarsgård seen at the Photocall for The Winners during the 78th Festival de Cannes (Cannes International Film Festival) at Palais des Festivals, Cannes, , France on 24 May 2025. Winner of the Grand Prix prize for Sentimental Value Picture,Image: 1003240451, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: World Rights – Julie Edwards/Avalon.Red, Model Release: no, Credit line: Julie Edwards/Avalon
- LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA, USA – NOVEMBER 05: Norwegian actress Renate Reinsve wearing a Schiaparelli FW25 Couture gown, American actress and singer Elle Fanning wearing a Fendi Couture dress and Cartier jewelry, Norwegian actress Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas and Swedish actor Stellan Skarsgard (Stellan Skarsgård) arrive at the Los Angeles Premiere Of Neon’s ‘Sentimental Value’ held at the DGA Theater Complex at The Directors Guild of America on November 5, 2025 in Los Angeles, California, United States.,Image: 1050705084, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: , Model Release: no, Pictured: Renate Reinsve, Elle Fanning, Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Stellan Skarsgard, Stellan Skarsgård, Credit line: Xavier Collin/Image Press Agency/Avalon
- LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA, USA – NOVEMBER 05: Norwegian actress Renate Reinsve wearing a Schiaparelli FW25 Couture gown and American actress and singer Elle Fanning wearing a Fendi Couture dress and Cartier jewelry arrive at the Los Angeles Premiere Of Neon’s ‘Sentimental Value’ held at the DGA Theater Complex at The Directors Guild of America on November 5, 2025 in Los Angeles, California, United States.,Image: 1050705189, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: , Model Release: no, Pictured: Renate Reinsve, Elle Fanning, Credit line: Xavier Collin/Image Press Agency/Avalon
- Renate Reinsve at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards held at The Beverly Hilton Hotel on January 11, 2026 in Beverly Hills, Los Angeles, California, United States.,Image: 1065328161, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: , Model Release: no, Pictured: Renate Reinsve, Credit line: Xavier Collin/Image Press Agency/Avalon
- BEVERLY HILLS, LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA, USA – JANUARY 11: Stellan Skarsgard, winner of the Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture award for ‘Sentimental Value’ poses in the press room at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards held at The Beverly Hilton Hotel on January 11, 2026 in Beverly Hills, Los Angeles, California, United States.,Image: 1066001768, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: , Model Release: no, Pictured: Stellan Skarsgard, Credit line: Xavier Collin/Image Press Agency/Avalon
- Ethan Hawke at the 2026 EE BAFTA Film Awards held at The Royal Festival Hall,Image: 1077533415, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: , Model Release: no, Credit line: Lounis Tiar/Avalon
- Celebrities arrive at the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards at Royal Festival Hall, London Featuring: Renate Reinsve Where: London, United Kingdom When: 22 Feb 2026 Credit: PA Images/INSTARimages **NORTH AMERICA RIGHTS ONLY**
- Award winners pose in the press room during the 2026 EE BAFTA Film Awards at Royal Festival Hall in London Featuring: Ryan Coogler Where: London, United Kingdom When: 22 Feb 2026 Credit: Ian West/PA Images/INSTARimages **NORTH AMERICA RIGHTS ONLY**
- Award winners pose in the press room during the 2026 EE BAFTA Film Awards at Royal Festival Hall in London Featuring: Ryan Coogler Where: London, United Kingdom When: 22 Feb 2026 Credit: Julie Edwards/Future Image/Cover Images **NOT FOR PUBLICATION IN GERMANY**






















Well then lets hope that stellan will be the last standing of the movie because he deserves this.
He’s fantastic in Sentimental Value.
And I agree with her choice of Inga Ibsdotter Liliais. She tied all the characters and the story together beautifully, she’s the heart of that film
Well said.
Honestly it’s just nice to read one of these where the voter has clearly SEEN the films themself and has coherent thoughts on them. I don’t agree with all their choices but I hope we have more people voting with an actual view of the films this year.
I hope many more come through for Ethan Hawke like this. He gives an amazing performance. The race should be between Ethan and Michael B Jordan with Wagner Moura right behind them
Absolutely agree!
I enjoyed the total disregard of F1. And hearing a bit about someone’s thought process.
There were other films that should be on the best picture list. I’m so annoyed that F1 got this nom. Sorry, Baby or No Other Choice could be up there instead. F1 is a fine and entertaining movie for what it is but it’s not a best Oscar film. Sorry it’s just not.
It’s there because of the technical categories. Halfway decent racing movies tend to get best picture nominations because the people in the sound, visual effects, and editing categories get to vote on Best Picture nominations too and they’ll promote films showing off their craft – racing movies, space movies and war movies
Ooh I always love these! the main benefit of a later Oscars broadcast (as in, mid March and not February) with streaming is that I feel like I can actually watch a lot of the movies. I still have a few to go in the Best Picture race (have not seen Sentimental Value or Hamnet which are the big ones I want to see) but I’ve seen more than last year.
I loved OBAA and said to my husband – I think this will win. But after thinking it over and comparing it to Sinners, I’m back to thinking Sinners has the edge. That movie was just perfect – the storyline, the acting, the costumes, the set design, the music, everything. And I def think Coogler is going to pick up at least one Oscar (for screenplay, if not for director and BP.)
Anyway what I meant to say when I started typing lmao – i disagree with her putting Frankenstein below F1. I thought F1 was a fun movie, a big splashy summer blockbuster type of movie, and I enjoyed it and my boys love it. But its not on the same level as Frankenstein. There was so much nuance there in the acting and how the movie was crafted.
Oh and I hated Bugonia so I think even here she’s giving Bugonia too much credit.