I’m sorry to do this to everyone on a Monday, but here we go. WAKE UP! The numbers are not great and we still have time to turn this sh-t around. CNN released their latest poll in the presidential election and wow, these numbers SUCK. Did CNN only talk to white dudes? Because that’s what it feels like. Joe Biden has a lead: he’s up to 50% in this CNN poll of registered voters. But Trump Republicans are “coming home” to MAGA now.
Joe Biden’s lead over Donald Trump among registered voters has significantly narrowed since June, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, even as the former vice president maintains an advantage over the President on several top issues and his choice of California Sen. Kamala Harris as a running mate earns largely positive reviews. And on the eve of the party conventions, a majority of voters (53%) are “extremely enthusiastic” about voting in this year’s election, a new high in CNN polling in presidential election cycles back to 2003.
Overall, 50% of registered voters back the Biden-Harris ticket, while 46% say they support Trump and Pence, right at the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Among the 72% of voters who say they are either extremely or very enthusiastic about voting this fall, Biden’s advantage over Trump widens to 53% to 46%. It is narrower, however, among those voters who live in the states that will have the most impact on the electoral college this fall. Across 15 battleground states, the survey finds Biden has the backing of 49% of registered voters, while Trump lands at 48%.
The pool of battleground states in this poll includes more that Trump carried in 2016 (10) than were won by Hillary Clinton (5), reflecting the reality that the President’s campaign is more on defense than offense across the states. Taken together, though, they represent a more Republican-leaning playing field than the nation as a whole.
I honestly feel like crying. Yes, Biden is consistently hovering around 50% in most legitimate polls, and that’s good news. But I’m worried about the increase in registered voters declaring themselves for Trump. I generally feel like there’s about 30-35% of American who will just be ride-or-die for Trump no matter what he does or how many people he kills. Then in a presidential election year, there will be Republicans who vote for Trump just because he’s the GOP candidate, regardless of how they feel about him. But Jesus, I would sleep better at night if we could get Trump’s numbers down.
Meanwhile, Melania pulled her hand away from Trump as they were exiting the plane, and it’s big news. Personally, I think she pulled her hand away because she was trying to navigate going down stairs in heels, with the wind blowing her hair in her face and blocking her vision, all while trying to keep her hand on her Birkin. I’m no Melania stan but I give her a pass on this? Barron is crazy-tall too.
MOMENTS AGO: President Trump, First Lady Melania, and Barron arrive at Joint Base Andrews from Morristown, NJ. pic.twitter.com/f6z3m5gx8w
— The Hill (@thehill) August 16, 2020
Photos courtesy of Getty, Backgrid.
Hoho…I hate this so much!
http://ow.ly/UCYG30r4LUY
Not so fast
It’s only for subscribers. Maybe add the title, at least?
From the Washington Post: “ Post-ABC poll shows Biden, Harris hold double-digit lead over Trump, Pence”
It’s not only for subscribers, try again. Here’s the title:
Post-ABC poll shows Biden, Harris hold double-digit lead over Trump, Pence
I tried, for me the link opens to the “support great journalism”-page. I probably could log in and browse, but without knowing what I am looking for it wouldn’t make much sense. Thanks for providing the title!
I will never forgive the 46% who are hellbent and gleeful about hurting their fellow Americans. They deserve to be shamed from polite society.
I am terrified for you that Trump will be re-elected
I think so many voters aren’t motivated or don’t believe in Biden enough to move their *ss to vote
Horrible thought
I am this close to giving up on USA. It hurts, because I’ve admired this country for the most of my life. Sorry for the people who don’t deserve this crap and can’t go anywhere else, but at this point I feel like that Trump is what real America is about: a basket of racist, ignorant, gun-toting deplorables who would rather die than accept that the world is changing.
I am horrified at what my country has become and would like to think the Trumpers are just louder and more obnoxious so it seems like maybe there are more of them. Pipe dream I know….but if he wins this election I will believe you are right on and that will destroy me. I’m seriously looking at a place I could go if that happens but ya know, no country wants any Americans because we’ve shown the world we are a bunch of racist, ignorant, gun-toting deplorable who don’t believe in science but do believe in demon sex. SMDH
I think that is true (that the Trumpers are louder). I hold very strong opinions about politics but I don’t blast it all over and I know I am not alone.
Who are these 46 percent? Are they voting in self interest (lower taxes) or are they really just racist misogynists? (Or both)
white women, white men (including those in college & recent graduates that may appear to be publicly socially liberal but still feel put upon & OK with the idea of living in Trumplandia). And the Bernie-stans are still at it even though Bernie is actively supporting the Dem ticket
And the people who will not vote because lazy or “too pure” to vote.
(Of course this does not include people who are sick or old and find it difficult).
The numbers will get even tighter after Labor Day.
I cannot handle four more years of this bs. Jesus.
I’m scared for America. I’m Canadian and thank my lucky stars but we do care about you all and it hurts to watch things go to hell.
I’ll be seeking asylum from Canada if he gets elected again. No joke. I feel as though this country can not withstand any more of this man’s “leadership”. It’s dangerous and scary.
Nope! Don’t let the guard down. The questions were also phrased differently so I kinda suspicious. 200000 + people dead and counting and they still want him for President? The first kid in Georgia died of C19 this weekend, I think red states should think twice. I saw pictures of Uhaul on Twitter highlighting the eviction mess that just getting started. I have hope there will be a change. Leticia James and Cy Vance , I looking at you
Speaking of evictions, if someone doesn’t have an address will they be allowed to vote? If they’re out on the street, will it be too difficult to vote? Not preventing evictions may be part of the plan.
Good (and sad) point Jerusha. The cruelty is just……..endless. And that dang wall, if it ever gets built, will be to keep Americans IN just as much as it is meant to keep immigrants out.
WAKE UP AMERICA!!!!! This man is dismantling our democracy and turning it into a dictatorship. He won’t leave unless we get to the polls and VOTE HIM OUT by a landslide.
Preaching to the choir here.
I ask the question, “is America great again?” Like we can’t even send our kids to school safely or go to a damn movie!
The people I know who are trump die-hards just blame China. The federal response is on him and his administration. I just don’t understand how THIS is the America that they want.
Rich white friend- I just don’t believe either side. And I don’t watch any news- I can’t, for my own mental health.
This is fascism winning.
She didn’t vote for trump in 2016, but would never vote for Clinton, so she stated home.
This time- she said she will vote for who she votes for.
Democracy will die at her hands. And at the hands of a lot of poor while people who think like she does but are much more negatively effected by gop economic policies.
I will vote, in person, on the first day of early voting.
But I’m not hopeful.
OMG this is terrifying. How can people still support him? Who are these people??? What world are we living in?
I’m truly scared for the future.
His voters don’t have to like him they only have to hate democrats more and they do. The word democrat is a curse word to them. They are like a mad dog when they talk or think about “the liberals” in power.
Seriously. They’re at the point where they think anti-fascists are the REAL hate group. The way they talk about liberals…I mean, just replace “liberal” with “Jew,” and it’d be indistinguishable from Nazi propaganda.
Who are these people you ask. All of my relatives. All except me, my daughter and my grandson, turning 18 on 11/3/20.
Yep. An extended family member wrote a long post about the ungodly democratic party in a response to a Bible verse my sister posted, and mentioned they need to pray for the members of their family who have accepted all the Democrats lies. Everything she said sounds like the GOP to me, but whatever.
Yep my entire family minus my husband and two kids.
And I have a very large extended family.
I’m in Southern California
what the actual fuck, yall. welcome to the Dark Timeline, i guess. i dont even know if i want Cthulu to wait until after the election results… i kinda just want him to come and eat us now.
Ph’nglui mglw’nafh Cthulhu R’lyeh wgah’nagl fhtagn. Ia! Ia!
just watched Lovecraft Country last night!
Cthulhu tried to get on the ballot in Massachusetts in 2016.
With the conventions the next two weeks there will likely be a lot of up and down for both candidates. I don’t place a lot of credence in polls; ultimately what matters is voting.
Aside from the USPS, my concern is there has been absolutely no movement on additional unemployment or stimulus. Despite Trumps great announcement there is nothing additional coming in unemployment payments thus far, Congress is on break, the eviction moratorium has been lifted in most states, etc.
ABC/Washington Post shows 53/41Biden.
Just posted on this, I don’t get this site’s fixation on reporting on individual polls.
Yeah I just went over to 538’s polls , because they rank them very well, and analyze an assortment of them. Biden still is show a double digit lead.
Not that we should get complacent, we should all be working and voting as if Trump were in the lead, don’t let up, don’t back down.
It’s appalling that anyone supports him, but there many more who do not. VOTE.
538 has the same numbers as it did at the 2016 election—71/29. Meanwhile the gop is banking on suppressing enough of the vote that any defections from the 77,000 people who decided the election via the electoral college won’t matter.
I notice that the CNN poll seems to be an outlier. Multiple other recent polls still show Biden/ Harris well ahead.
But then an ABC poll shows Biden/Harris holding a double digit lead over Trump/Pence. Individual polls mean very, very little. Projections for the electoral college (the vote that actually matters) overwhelmingly show a Biden victory. This is the final stretch and this is when it matters most to keep the fight and hope alive.
An activist/educator that I follow on IG thinks that Trump will win. She also thinks more white women will vote for him this time than 2016…
I am getting worried that she is right.
I believe 100% that hand holding is in their renegotiated “Taking Care of Barron” terms. She has to hold his hand at certain times for photo ops. That’s why he goes after her hand so insistently. But she gets around it by waiting to get off the plane, so it’s on her terms, kind of. And I’m sure there are other things she “has to do.” Blech
I believe this. Trump is so not a hand holder. He doesn’t have a polite bone in his body. This is all for show. We all know he would push her down the stairs to save himself.
The issue was he tried to get her Birkin. Nobody gets her Birkin! When she got down the stairs, she switched the Birkin to the side opposite from him.
The majority of white voters will vote for Trump. Period. There’s no way around it. What’s frustrating is that he doesn’t even need to steal this election to win.
No. I don’t believe this. I do believe misogynist will vote for him, though.
Racists, xenophobes and misogynists, 100% lock.
Sadly that’s a lot of people.
It’ll probably be the last “white victory”, though, demographics don’t lie.
But I also believe he’ll win 2020. People might simply lie to pollsters, as they know voting for Trump is not socially acceptable, and then vote for him anyway, for muddled identitarian thinking disguised as a preoccupation about high taxes.
Exactly. White voters overwhelmingly vote to uphold the systematized myth of white supremacy. It’s ingrained in the fabric of this “nation”.
Agreed.
What I find curious is that on the whole, Melania has a very cold and forbidding facial expression. But watch her light up at the young man in uniform (at 0:26 in the video) – I have never seen her look so joyous and welcoming – not at her husband, not at her son, and not even at those Christmas trees of blood.
She looks pretty frisky around Justin T., though.
I’m becoming a nervous wreck. The thought of what’s going to happen in Nov is on my mind almost 24/7.
Me too. My husband and I have agreed that our lovely, peaceful back deck is a politics-free zone. We are on the same page politically, so for an hour or 2 a day we chill on the deck and don’t think or talk about this election. It has given me a tremendous amount of mental relief from my constant state of anxiety. Also, wine. Wine is great.
I believe this election is going to be super close 😭 . Biden will probably win but trump will refuse to concede and will likely not leave. The gop is already doing everything they possibly can to cheat their way into making it a close call. I really pray that RBG stays healthy and we can eek out a win in the senate. This is going to get messy until the bitter end and beyond…
How the hell did it even come to this? Trump has the blood of what will doubtless be several hundred thousand people on his hands from the pandemic. He allowed Putin to put a price on the heads of American soldiers. He’s a self-admitted sex pest and likely a rapist. He pals around with neo-Nazis and pedophiles. He’s a narcissistic sociopath, in addition to being so senile that he makes 2nd-term Reagan look competent. And lest we forget, HE COMMITTED F*CKING TREASON. If Trump is re-elected (or should I say “re-elected”), some sort of coup should be in order. Let the people of Belarus be an inspiration.
It’s come to this because half the country is fed a steady diet of dubious media sources that spin and dispute all of these things. The internet and social media has been one of the biggest factors in our downfall. It’s created an alternate reality where facts and truth don’t matter.
I’m beside myself with anxiety. Making phone calls for Joe Biden is somewhat uplifting but I still fear we are not reaching the undecided voters.
I’m a Democrat and fear we will not win. We’re up against a monster who will do anything to win. We all thought Hillary would win and look what happened with that. I did read that 50% of white voters are voting for Trump. I have a deck of cards that I use to ask questions and on three different days, about a week apart, I asked if Trump would win and the cards said Yes. To test the “truth” of the cards, after each time I asked if Trump would be win, i asked if Biden would be president and the cards said No. If Trump wins another four years it will be disastrous.
Putin’s plot to assassinate American soldiers, and Dump’s shoulder shrug over it, should have gotten way more coverage and outrage from the media. I hope Biden drills him about it in the debates so it is at the forefront of voter’s minds. I know there are a million things to slam him over, but this is one issue that might actually resonate with moderate red voters and independents.
My fiance, being a white guy from Alabama, grew up surrounded by die-hard Republican relatives (and I mean his entire family, apart from his parents and older sister), who only became even more toxic when Trump came along. But they’re also a military family, with almost all of the men serving in the Army or Navy. When that bounty story came out, they changed their minds about Trump almost overnight. So it CAN happen. And while I’m not overly excited about voting for Biden (I’d say that my vote is really more for Kamala), I do trust him to be relentless and ruthless in the debates. After all, I have to imagine that this is personal for him, given Trump’s efforts to ruin him.
Good story, Miranda. Sounds like there’s hope for some people to see the lilght about Trump.
I would check voteamerica.com and make sure you are registered to vote.
Has Barron ever looked happy?
Not when his sperm donor is within a hundred yards.
seriously, poor Barron. He truly looks like the saddest boy in the world.
I gotta believe the whole thing must feel so surreal to him. The Trumps are occupants of the WH but don’t seem to have the awe and respect for the office that other First Families do. They’re just passing through, out only for themselves.
Barron’s scowl looks just like Trump’s in that one photo. Yikes.
I don’t think he looks like he’s scowling as much as he looks “vacant”, or mostly checked out.
he’s over it and hates his dad, methinks. and poor thing does resemble 45 quite a bit.
CNN is being called out on it’s inaccurate poll numbers, Van Jones as a commentator, Navarro as a guest. CNN is off my viewing grid. Call them out on it, ignore the station to effect change. Damn, that photo of TMB! The miserable family in misery. 🙂
Why would they do that though? I don’t get it!!
Trump’s close friend Jeff Zucker is Chairman of CNN news division.
Ratings are the name of the game. We stop watching, programs will change.
I’m gonna be naive and put a positive spin on it. Maybe its to scare people into mobilizing for Biden. “This is gonna be close people, get out and vote!”
I love CNN and believe in what they tell people. If the truth is not positive towards Biden, I would rather hear that than be misled. I don’t want CNN to be like Fox News with all of its B.S.
Oh man it’s clear she wanted nothing to do with his pathetic little show of “togetherness”, and clutched that bag like it was a lifeline. Trump is too dumb and desperate to not go for it, and keeps pawing at her when clearly it was an awkward time to do it, I mean who wants to hold hands while navigating stairs descending a plane? Idiot.
And I believe Trump will always have his base, right to the end. Not because they think he’s so great. If they go on record saying how much they love him and think he is doing a good job, they’re lying through their teeth. They know he is a mess, but they can’t see the forest for the trees. They are supporting him out of spite and proud of it. You know these kinds of people. Hell, we’ve all done it. If you don’t like being told what to do and how to think, then you’re going to dig your heels in the sand and stand your ground that much more firmly. Trump doesn’t have to do anything wrong or right anymore. He doesn’t represent anyone’s values or principles. In fact the more egregious his acts, the more his base loves him, pandemic, the environment, the nation’s health be damned! He is the opposing side of the Democrats. That’s all he has to be. So, I do not expect any come to jesus revelations anytime soon. In fact the more insistent we are about “doing the right thing” and voting Trump out, the more rabid his base will become. The question is, how big is that base, really? And how much does the other side really want to win. This is a nail biter. With the electoral college, gerrymandering, Republican dirty tricks, I believe the popular vote will be the only metric that shows what America has become. And we all know that does not win elections.
He either wanted a public display of affection or physical support for himself. He so disgusts me!
As we saw in 2016, polls don’t mean much.
Never trusting a poll again as long as I live. It was naive/stupid of me to trust them in the first place. Yes, I’m still bitter about Hillary’s loss.
Polls are like scales. Avoid them at all costs. But do NOT mince words when conversations turn political. Don’t be the family who simply retweets or shares articles (hint: they never read shares). I’ve refused to talk to certain family and friends until they can call a spade a spade. Hello, if people can’t appreciate The Lincoln Project within their own fu@king party, what chance does anyone else have?
It terrifies me to know we live among so many people who support him. I thought for certain the pandemic would help more people see the truth, but no. The group that supports him has just dug their heels in even more.
I don’t believe the polls. In 2016 Trump only had 3% chance of winning.
This happened in the UK. The numbers got closer and closer right until polls closed. Don’t complain or cry here. Be cold and implacably convinced that Biden Will Win.
GET OUT THE VOTE.
Ugh. I can’t believe people are still supporting him.
This weekend I met someone who thought COVID was overblown. That not as many people are dying from it. That doctors are putting COVID as cause of death even when it’s not. Wouldn’t surprise me if he was a trump supporter. There are so many dumb people out there.
That rumor went around here too in NJ when it was REALLY bad here. Because sure, every doctor and hospital in the country is in on a secret plot, to make our death rate…match most other countries? (I know we’re higher than most, but it’s not like we’re 50% fatal and every other country is 2%).
My neighbor, who is elderly and whose spouse is in very poor health, told me it’s all political and just a flu. I walked away. Willfully stupid.
Ignore the polls. Get inspiration from the Democratic National Convention that starts tonight–featuring speakers like Michelle Obama. This election is about our core values, and you’ll see those reflected in the convention speeches and caucus meetings throughout the week. Onward!
https://www.demconvention.com/watch-the-convention/
Even the joke people say that they’ll move to another country if their candidate doesnt win doesnt apply here because we cant travel so we’re stuck! 😢
We are in for the fight of our life. He will steal as many votes as he can or make so votes don’t get counted for Biden. Plus there are so, so many white Christians who will vote for him. Because God.
Sadly, the hypocrites are gullible people.
CNN is run by a Trumper.
Question for the Americans, because I’m Canadian wondering about this….
CNN is reporting on mailed ballots in North Carolina, and the fact that the mailed out ballot has trump’s face on it and some messaging against Democrats….
Is this ok? Isn’t the election process and with facilitation by the USPS funded by the federal government, including all mailout ballot info to voters? Does this mean trump is using federal funds for his own campaigning? I’m just confused about how that is allowed. Or is it?
I’d encourage anyone who’s able to to sign up to be a poll worker. We don’t need covid limiting the number of polling places and causing long lines! Except in Trumpland.
I’ve seriously been looking up asylum and refugee rules for other countries. I’ll take Brexit all day over anymore of this bs. Canada is closest but I feel like Canada might get flooded.
I hope the Republican middle class is happy when Social Security and Medicare benefits are gone. Actually George Bush was trying to get rid of the Post Office, Social Security and Medicare back in 2004-2006. That’s the primary goal of Republican leaders along with white supremacy.
Reagan was trying to get rid of the Post Office. A friend was high up in the postal workers union at that time. He said Reagan was trying to get rid of people with seniority by making working conditions bad (it used to be a very good job, a lot of my relatives worked for the Post Office) and then bring in low-paid people to make it attractive to a private buyer. Reagan people devised a surveillance system that was driving people nuts who actually knew how the job worked and did it well, but the low-paid newcomers just went along with it. The stress on the postal carriers was enormous.
As a result, we had way too many cases of sacks of mail dumped behind a bush etc. Partly this was due to the high stress. But it was also because you get what you pay for. If you don’t pay people well and if you make the workplace hostile, it’s hard to attract and keep the best people with the highest sense of responsibility.
That problem seemed to eventually die down over the years, but now I see the urge to get rid of the Post Office has never really gone away among Republicans. Now Trump is really serious about destroying it, and not just because he wants vengeance on Amazon since Bezos bought the Washington Post. (Amazon ships so much that that travels the last leg with the PO that we still have Saturday mail delivery because of it; before working so profitably with package delivery services, the PO was going to dump Saturday delivery to save money). Trump is desperate to stay in the White House to avoid indictments. He is pushing to block as many people from voting as possible.
The same is true for the drive to kill Medicare and Social Security. The Republicans have been pushing against those programs since they first were implemented, despite the strong support for the programs by people of all political stripes who see how effective they have been in keeping so many older people out of poverty. I haven’t seen stories about senior citizens surviving on dog food in decades.
jwoolman – thanks for the history of what went down years ago. I learned a lot reading your post.
The polls are always going to be tight and anyone thinking Biden had this automatically is delusional. There are people who will never vote Biden, or for a ticket with a woman, no matter how awful Trump is. This is why voter registration and turnout is so critical. A few votes can impact the electoral college and some people have been more rattled by protests then by Covid and Trumps blatant incompetence.Another big mistake is Biden saying he’ll only do one term. I hope that’s not true because it looks weak. The GOP are interested in power regardless, and will lie and cheat if that’s what it takes, and his base will support it
Totally agree with you. My sister won’t vote for a woman that’s why she wouldn’t vote for Hillary and also she votes against abortion rights.
Wow
CNNs polls are outliers, notice how it comes out just as the democratic convention begins.
It is the purpose of the media to make this a horse race.
Just VOTE, vote as EARLY as possible. Mail as EARLY as possible or use a ballot box.
For fuck’s sake, this is a nightmare. And the voter suppression is pathetic, despicable and unconstitutional.